It is timely for energy leaders to ask:
Are global energy scenarios achieving their potential in opening up action on new energy futures?
How do the Council’s World Energy Scenarios compare with global energy outlooks, scenarios and normative visions used by others and what can we learn by contrasting the increasing richness of energy futures thinking?
As a part of the refresh, the Council has conducted a comparison study of global energy scenarios in order to test the continued plausibility, relevance and challenge of its own existing scenario set, the World Energy Scenarios 2016, launched at the 23rd World Energy Congress in Istanbul in 2016.
By comparing the methods, narratives and assumptions associated with a benchmarkable set of global energy futures initiatives and studies, the Council seeks to provide our members with clearer understanding and new insights on energy transition while preparing them to better engage with leadership dialogues which pivot on visions of a new energy future.
The review also provides an opportunity to reflect on the challenges and obstacles for utilising global energy scenarios to drive impact, and the challenges in bridging agile and flexible qualitative storytelling with long term, quantitative energy modelling.