The Index also includes a ‘watch list’, highlighting countries that are expected to display significant changes in trilemma performance over the next few years, in light of recent policy changes, unscheduled incidents or undealt with structural issues. In 2015, South Africa and the US join Germany, Italy, Japan and the UK on negative watch, whilst the Philippines and Serbia are put on positive watch, alongside Mexico and the United Arab Emirates.
Now in its fifth edition, the 2015 Index shows signs of progress for all dimensions of the energy trilemma, although it remains a struggle for most countries to develop a balanced approach, with only two countries out of 130 obtaining a ‘AAA’ balance score.
While the transition towards sustainable, balanced energy systems is slowly occurring, progress can be sped up by creating robust and stable policy frameworks. In the run-up to the 21st Conference of the Parties (COP21), the Index supports the messages from the World Energy Council welcoming the bottom-up ‘Intended Nationally Determined Contributions’ process and emphasising the need for strong national energy policy frameworks based on a trilemma approach to effectively implement international objectives. The 2015 World Energy Trilemma: priority actions on climate change and how to balance the trilemma report recommends a meaningful agreement supported by a focus on clearly identified action areas that enable and accelerate the transition towards low-carbon energy systems.
A full set of country profiles is available as an interactive tool on the website.